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Disease Dynamics Research Group

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  • Currently displaying 1 - 20 of 88 publications
Epidemic dynamics shape variant appearance and stochastic establishment: implications for vaccination
MA Gutierrez, JR Gog
(2026)
(doi: 10.64898/2026.07.21.26358562)
How understanding the diversity of perspectives and systems in governments can increase the impact of scientific research.
L Hadley, S Ben Miled, HE Clapham, BA Djaafara, L Dyson, S Funk, JR Gog, H Heesterbeek, EM Hill, E Howerton, V Isham, A Kebir, M Keeling, SM Kissler, J Lessler, K Leung, E McBryde, JM McCaw, CEG Mercado, D Mollison, SM Thumbi, W Pan-Ngum, L Pellis, FJ Pérez-Reche, MJ Plank, RN Thompson, C Tran-Kiem
– Communications health
(2026)
1,
13
(doi: 10.1038/s44528-026-00009-2)
Final-Size Solutions for SIRI Models with Vaccination
MA Gutierrez, JR Gog
– Bulletin of mathematical biology
(2026)
88,
64
(doi: 10.1007/s11538-026-01610-w)
Final-size solutions for SIRI models with vaccination
MA Gutierrez, JR Gog
(2025)
(doi: 10.1101/2025.09.12.25335631)
Waning immunity can drive repeated waves of infections
DZ Lai, JR Gog
– Mathematical biosciences and engineering : MBE
(2024)
21,
1979
(doi: 10.3934/mbe.2024088)
A novel approach to finding conserved features in low-variability gene alignments characterises RNA motifs in SARS-CoV and SARS-CoV-2
J Skittrall, N Irigoyen, I Brierley, J Gog
– Scientific Reports
(2023)
13,
12079
(doi: 10.1038/s41598-023-39207-1)
The importance of vaccinated individuals to population-level evolution of pathogens.
MA Gutierrez, J Gog
– Journal of theoretical biology
(2023)
567,
111493
(doi: 10.1016/j.jtbi.2023.111493)
Coughs, colds and “freshers’ flu” survey in the University of Cambridge, 2007–2008
KTD Eames, ML Tang, EM Hill, MJ Tildesley, JM Read, MJ Keeling, JR Gog
– Epidemics
(2022)
42,
100659
(doi: 10.1016/j.epidem.2022.100659)
The importance of vaccinated individuals to population-level evolution of pathogens
MA Gutierrez, JR Gog
(2022)
(doi: 10.1101/2022.11.29.22282822)
Getting the most out of maths: How to coordinate mathematical modelling research to support a pandemic, lessons learnt from three initiatives that were part of the COVID-19 response in the UK.
CE Dangerfield, I David Abrahams, C Budd, M Butchers, ME Cates, AR Champneys, CSM Currie, J Enright, JR Gog, A Goriely, T Déirdre Hollingsworth, RB Hoyle, Ini Professional Services, V Isham, J Jordan, MH Kaouri, K Kavoussanakis, J Leeks, PK Maini, C Marr, C Merritt, D Mollison, S Ray, RN Thompson, A Wakefield, D Wasley
– Journal of Theoretical Biology
(2022)
557,
111332
(doi: 10.1016/j.jtbi.2022.111332)
Short-term Projections based on Early Omicron Variant Dynamics in England
MJ Keeling, E Brooks-Pollock, R Challen, L Danon, L Dyson, JR Gog, LG Rincón, EM Hill, L Pellis, JM Read, MJ Tildesley
(2021)
2021.12.30.21268307
(doi: 10.1101/2021.12.30.21268307)
Vaccine breakthrough and the invasion dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 variants
CM Saad-Roy, SA Levin, JR Gog, J Farrar, CE Wagner, CJE Metcalf, BT Grenfell
(2021)
2021.12.13.21267725
(doi: 10.1101/2021.12.13.21267725)
Commentary on the use of the reproduction number <i>R</i> during the COVID-19 pandemic.
C Vegvari, S Abbott, F Ball, E Brooks-Pollock, R Challen, BS Collyer, C Dangerfield, JR Gog, KM Gostic, JM Heffernan, TD Hollingsworth, V Isham, E Kenah, D Mollison, J Panovska-Griffiths, L Pellis, MG Roberts, G Scalia Tomba, RN Thompson, P Trapman
– Statistical methods in medical research
(2021)
31,
1675
(doi: 10.1177/09622802211037079)
SARS-CoV-2 infection in UK university students: lessons from September–December 2020 and modelling insights for future student return
J Enright, EM Hill, HB Stage, KJ Bolton, EJ Nixon, EL Fairbanks, ML Tang, E Brooks-Pollock, L Dyson, CJ Budd, RB Hoyle, L Schewe, JR Gog, MJ Tildesley
– Royal Society open science
(2021)
8,
210310
(doi: 10.1098/rsos.210310)
Vaccine escape in a heterogeneous population: insights for SARS-CoV-2 from a simple model
JR Gog, EM Hill, L Danon, RN Thompson
– Royal Society Open Science
(2021)
8,
210530
(doi: 10.1098/rsos.210530)
Early epidemiological signatures of novel SARS-CoV-2 variants: establishment of B.1.617.2 in England
R Challen, L Dyson, CE Overton, LM Guzman-Rincon, EM Hill, HB Stage, E Brooks-Pollock, L Pellis, F Scarabel, DJ Pascall, P Blomquist, M Tildesley, D Williamson, S Siegert, X Xiong, B Youngman, Juniper, JM Read, JR Gog, MJ Keeling, L Danon
(2021)
(doi: 10.1101/2021.06.05.21258365)
Engagement and adherence trade-offs for SARS-CoV-2 contact tracing
TCD Lucas, EL Davis, D Ayabina, A Borlase, T Crellen, L Pi, GF Medley, L Yardley, P Klepac, J Gog, T Déirdre Hollingsworth
– Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci
(2021)
376,
20200270
(doi: 10.1098/rstb.2020.0270)
Epidemic interventions: insights from classic results.
JR Gog, TD Hollingsworth
– Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B
(2021)
376,
20200263
(doi: 10.1098/rstb.2020.0263)
SARS-CoV-2 incidence and vaccine escape
RN Thompson, EM Hill, JR Gog
– Lancet Infectious Diseases
(2021)
21,
913
(doi: 10.1016/s1473-3099(21)00202-4)
Coughs, Colds and “Freshers’ Flu” Survey in the University of Cambridge, 2007-2008
KT Eames, ML Tang, EM Hill, MJ Tildesley, JM Read, MJ Keeling, JR Gog
(2021)
2021.03.31.21251220
(doi: 10.1101/2021.03.31.21251220)

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